"I have had friends on Capitol Hill tell me that I would be crazy to think about leaving the House of Representatives," Raskin said. And any of those bills risk falling to a filibuster by Republicans who are deciding whether theyre in a mood to compromise before the 2024 election, which could give them control of the Senate. Should even half of Schumers vision become law, it would be a marked contrast to the last few months. 2023 may be an off-year for elections, but theres still going to be plenty of campaigning happening in the coming months. And then, theres 2024 A number of potential candidates have already teased their candidacy for a litany of races. After spending six months focused on confirming President Joe Bidens nominees and fighting off GOP regulatory rollbacks, Chuck Schumer is planning to pivot into bipartisan policymaking mode. That means he's one of a core group of Democrats defending President Biden and his administration against Republican investigations. By signing up you agree to allow POLITICO to collect your user information and use it to better recommend content to you, send you email newsletters or updates from POLITICO, and share insights based on aggregated user information. Days later, however, Arizona Sen. Krysten Sinema declared herself as as independent, changing the composition of the incoming class to 50 caucusing with Democrats (including Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine), 49 caucusing with Republicans and one independent (Sinema). A special election to fill that seat is scheduled for Feb. 21, 2023. Prior to the election, there were more Republicans (50) than Democrats (48) in the U.S. Senate. Their terms run from the beginning of the 116th Congress on January 3, 2019 to the end of the 118th Congress on January 3, 2025. Where can I be doing the most good for the most number of people now? *Sasse announced plans to resign in early 2023 to become president of the University of Florida, which will precipitate a special election for the seat in November 2024. Vulnerable Senate Democrats Are Breaking With Biden More Often Its been the greatest honor of my life to represent Delaware, to protect our seniors, our environment, our small businesses and womens reproductive rights. It's a job that's expected to be higher in demand as the House GOP ramps up its probes into President Biden, his administration and Democrats since Trump's historic federal indictment. And, you know, we just have to incorporate that. Simply funding the government, passing the annual defense bill and getting a farm bill done is not a bad days work, he added. But aside from unsuccessful Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, speakers largely shied away from the nascent 2024 campaign, with most declining to pledge loyalty to Trump in his comeback presidential bid., My colleague Adam Wren is up with a profile on former vice president and potential presidential contender Mike Pence: Those who know Pence best say he is wrestling with how to recalibrate himself to a Republican base that hasnt yet forgiven him for refusing Trumps pressure to overturn the election results and maybe never will., Hes got a huge problem, Newt Gingrich, who sits on Pences Advancing American Freedom advisory board, told Adam. As Raskin considers his next move, he is weighing his seniority in the House against potentially vying to become the junior senator from Maryland. For buzzy nuggets and details that you wont find anywhere else, subscribe today. Published: May. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images If they win reelection in 2026, they will only be eligible to serve an additional four-year term before . TURNOUT TROUBLES Big cities faltered this year in producing the large vote totals that Democrats have traditionally relied on for election wins in many states, a troubling sign for the party despite its unexpected midterm victories, The Wall Street Journals Aaron Zitner, John McCormick and Dante Chinni write (and crunch some numbers). As of Wednesday, Nov. 16 Republicans officially gained the control of the 2023 U.S. House as incumbent Republican Mike Garcia was declared victorious in Californias House District 27the 218th seat filled by the GOP in this falls election. Nevada was more competitive than expected this year, and Republicans are likely to take it seriously in 2022, when Sen. Masto is up for reelection after the former Nevada Attorney General narrowly defeated Joe Heck by a margin of 2.6% in 2016 to succeed majority leader Harry Reid. The scale wont approach 2021 and 2022, when Schumer toggled between approving massive party-line bills and bipartisan measures covering everything from gun safety to infrastructure to same-sex marriage. Theres not a ton of rush, because the House is not in a huge hurry to take it up. John Fetterman flipping the open seat being vacated by retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey. Tech: Matt Latourelle Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. However, 23 Republican senators are up for reelection in 2020 compared to 12 Democrats. Tester to run for reelection in 2024, providing boost to Democrats twenty Democratic senators and the three independents who caucus with . Raskin first got news of his diagnosis in late December 2022, and underwent six rounds of chemotherapy over several months. Incumbent Democratic Gov. The court currently has a 4-2 Democratic majority. Democratic Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester announced a run for Delawares open Senate seat Wednesday, officially launching an expected campaign and simultaneously opening up a race for the states sole House seat. Power Switch is a daily newsletter that unlocks the most important stories driving the energy sector and the political forces shaping critical decisions about your energy future, from production to storage, distribution to consumption. Then the two new senators draw lots to see which class they join. Meanwhile, the jockeying on the Democratic side is reaching a fever pitch. 2022 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin When Nevada Sen. Catherine Cortez Mastos race was called in her favor four days after election day, Democrats officially retained control of the incoming class of the U.S. Senate. Regardless, a seat due up in, say, 2024 will be up again in 2030 even if theres an intervening special election. The good news for Republicans, however, is that the 2024 Senate map puts them in a better position to take control of the chamber than it does for Democrats to hold onto it. He still regularly adds to those drafts of his two speeches for either plan, trying to decide which one makes the most compelling case. Republicans would very much like to flip this seat, but Michigan Democrats had a banner year last November sweeping the top statewide offices and retaking control of the full legislature and Biden is expected to compete hard in the state if he runs for reelection. The Senates 100 seats are divided into three groups called classes. Class III . Dont miss out on Power Switch, your guide to the politics of energy transformation in America and around the world. Whats With RFK Jr.s Double-Digit Polling? Catie Dull/NPR The party is defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans,. Rep. Jamie Raskin at his home in Takoma Park, Md. Casey, who has won all three of his prior Senate races with relative ease, will likely benefit from running in a presidential year when turnout in the Democratic strongholds of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh is poised to be very high. Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb, a conservative who has pushed for stronger security measures at the US-Mexico border, is the first big-name Republican to jump into the race. Days until the VA-04 special election: 64. RETURN OF THE CRYPTO The DNC is setting aside funds to return the $815,000 in contributions FTX founder and political megadonor Sam Bankman-Fried since 2020, The Washington Posts Isaac Stanley-Becker and Tony Romm report. The Source for news on Capitol Hill since 1955. Contact | The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 | CNN Politics Republicans will target this seat, but Brown has proven to be an effective candidate adept at winning over Independents and even a slice of conservative-leaning voters. Raskin asks. Blunt Rochester already has the backing of retiring Sen. Thomas R. Carper, D-Del. Vance has recruited an unlikely coalition of fellow Republicans to support the rail bill he helped craft, saying that were pretty clearly there in assembling sufficient support. Will Women US Senators Run the Table in 2024? - Smart Politics Senators in Class III were elected to office in the November 2022 general election, unless they took their seat through appointment or special election. Slotkin, a former CIA analyst and the acting assistant defense secretary for international security affairs in the administration of President Barack Obama, is widely seen as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. The rail bill has already cleared committee, and the FAA will be back in July. [8], Scott announced he intended to challenge McConnell for the position on November 15, saying, "I believe its time for the Senate Republican Conference to be far more bold and resolute than we have been in the past. 28 U.S. Senators running for re-election, 6 retiring "I think he would ask probably that fundamental utilitarian question," Raskin says, "which is where can I go? Their terms run from the beginning of the 118th Congress on January 3, 2023 to the end of the 120th Congress on January 3, 2029. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr., who was first elected to the upper chamber in 2006, is seeking a fourth term in 2024. Vance, has taken steps in recent weeks to expand his pool of potential donor support and secure senior leadership for his campaign and leadership PAC, should he press ahead with a candidacy in the new year, Fox News Paul Steinhauser and Sophia Slacik report. That investment includes a digital ad calling Morrissey too extreme for Virginia regarding his abortion stance. This November 35 Senate seats were up for election, as were all 435 seats in the House of Representatives. However, the class of senators who were elected and reelected in 2018 a Democratic wave year that saw several vulnerable red-state members of the party win and lose will face a challenging map in 2024. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. 2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin This time around, Warnock topped Republican Herschel Walker to earn a full six-year term, which will have major ramifications for how the new Senate will conduct business in January. And despite Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema switching from the Democratic Party to register as an Independent late last year, she continues to retain her committee assignments through her former party, and the lawmaker herself downplayed any notion that she would change her voting habits. The actor Hill Harper, best known for his roles on "CSI: NY" and "The Good Doctor," may enter the Democratic primary this spring, while businessman Nasser Beydoun has announced a Senate exploratory committee and listening tour. That party can retake control with a . Senate Agriculture Chair Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) predicted farm, aviation and China legislation would be most likely to pass and that everything else is probably going to be harder. Madison Fernandez is the author of Morning Score, POLITICO's daily campaigns newsletter. Top 10 U.S. Senate races that are most likely to flip : NPR Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Senators. The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, which had a strong showing this cycle, noted in its year-end memo that it cannot wait to take on the Virginia GOP in 2023 and expand our majorities in 2024 and beyond.. Daines is hopeful the cannabis banking bill will follow suit. Jim Lamon, a former solar energy executive who ran for the party's nomination last year, has also been mentioned as a potential candidate. West Virginia: Shelley Moore Capito. But ever since, Democrats have developed a sizable advantage among this batch of seats: In 2000, Democrats gained four seats amid a razor-tight presidential election; in 2006, they gained six seats thanks to a midterm Democratic wave;3 in 2012, Democrats gained two more thanks to upset wins in North Dakota and Indiana; and in 2018, they lost two net seats but managed to pick up a seat in increasingly competitive Arizona while avoiding more sizable losses by holding onto seats in Montana, Ohio and West Virginia. 2022 2023 elections Louisiana Mississippi New Jersey Virginia 2023 special elections Eight of the country's 99 state legislative chambers are holding regularly-scheduled elections in 2023. * Although Sens. I decided to run for Congress. Elections in those eight chambers represent 578 of the country's 7,386 state legislative seats (7.8%). Before we know it, 2024 will be upon us and we have work to do, Dolan wrote in a letter to Ohio GOP county chairs last month. The GOP has been ascendant in the Mountain State in recent years, but a primary featuring Justice, Mooney, and any other major entrants could become very negative and in turn boost Manchin. "It's official. And some of the dozen spending bills are starting to advance, which will require their own ample chunk of the Senates most valuable commodity: floor time. Blunt Rochester had $408,000 in her House campaign account at the end of March, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Joe Manchin (26) Potential Republicans who could enter the race include former 2022 Senate candidate David McCormick and 2022 gubernatorial nominee Doug Mastriano. State legislatures State legislatures got a lot of attention this cycle. But I think it will happen soon. Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is a political survivor, having first won in conservative-leaning Montana in 2006 before winning tough reelection contests in 2012 and 2018. Despite the Republican orientation of the state, Tester has a solid political brand and has been able to appeal to many of the state's Independents and Republicans in past elections. In the 2022 midterm elections, Democrats defied political expectations by holding on to their Senate majority, with every incumbent securing reelection and then-Pennsylvania Lt. Gov.