Please click here to see any active alerts. Hence for each modelling step researchers need to consider what is known, what is not known, and how can we attempt to represent any uncertainties that arise from gaps in knowledge. Review editors were required to ensure that all substantive government and expert review comments received appropriate consideration. Methodologies and Tools to Evaluate Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Compendium on methods and tools to evaluate impacts of, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. A changing climate may increase the magnitude and frequency of flood events and further exacerbate the consequent damages. These meetings can also be used as an initial opportunity for developing options to address the effects of climate change. In the past few decades, temperatures in the Arctic have risen at nearly twice the rate as in the rest of the world, disrupting the region and its people in many ways. Impacts on coastal energy and transportation infrastructure driven by sea level rise and storm surge have the potential for cascading costs and disruptions across the country. , aspects of both perspectives are present where work involves continuous monitoring of its effectiveness with built-in opportunity to reflect on lessons learnt in a dynamic and iterative way. The Climate impacts tool provides a simple description of potential future challenges. These changes threaten future gains in commodity crop production and put rural livelihoods at risk. A report on health risks to children from climate change. @article{osti_5553553, title = {Climate impact assessment: Studies of the interaction of climate and society}, author = {Kates, R W and Ausubel, J H and Berberian, M}, abstractNote = {A collection of essays assess recent climate shifts, and the possibilities of human-induced climate alterations such as a long-term global warming derived from the enrichment of the atmospheric content of the . Fisheries: Warming may improve fish stocks of cod and herring but threaten cold water stocks such as northern shrimp. Frontiers | Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues ISO 14091, Adaptation to climate change - Guidelines on vulnerability, impacts and risk assessment, describes how to understand an organization's vulnerability and how to develop and implement a sound risk assessment in the context of climate change. The integration of climate risk into decision-making and the implementation of adaptation activities have significantly increased since the Third National Climate Assessment in 2014, including in areas of financial risk reporting, capital investment planning, development of engineering standards, military planning, and disaster risk management. How to Evaluate Your Company's Carbon Risk - Harvard Business Review Before sharing sensitive information, make sure youre on a federal government site. For some studies, it is necessary to assess hourly climate data, while for others monthly or seasonal averages can be sufficient. Request an accessible format. As climate changes continue, adverse impacts on culturally significant species and resources are expected to result in negative physical and mental health effects. Assessment of climate impact on vegetation dynamics over East Africa Vegetation: Forests will expand northward into the current tundra regions. Union of Concerned Scientists This approach allows us to prioritize climate adaptation actions to the sectors facing the most severe consequences of climate change. Wilby, R. L. and Dessai, S. (2010). [CCSP] Climate Change Science Program, 2008: Union of Concerned Scientists. Indiana Climate Change Impacts Assessment Putting global change into local perspective LEARN MORE Climate LEARN MORE Health LEARN MORE Forest Ecosystems LEARN MORE . The Department of Primary Industries, through the Climate Change Research Strategy, is undertaking a comprehensive assessment of primary industry vulnerability to climate change for New South Wales. Demand that fossil fuel CEOs stop fueling forest fires. (also available at. Fully 3.1 million cubic kilometers of ice is contained in the Arctic glaciersroughly equivalent to 1.3 timesthe volume of seawater in the Gulf of Mexico. Dependable and safe water supplies for U.S. Caribbean, Hawaii, and U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Island communities are threatened by drought, flooding, and saltwater contamination due to sea level rise. The authors' confidence in the assessment conclusions are extremely valuable when included as part of the analysis The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has consistently refined its language to describe the certainty of the conclusions presented in its assessments. In partnership with leading academic institutions, science organizations, community leaders, and others, New York State is undertaking a comprehensive research effort to better understand and document how climate change is affecting our state, what future impacts may be, and how we can prepare for them. ; Gough, W.A. Learn more. 133 p. National Research Council. Tell the EPA: Stronger vehicle pollution standards will save lives. Water management strategies that account for changing climate conditions can help reduce present and future risks to water security, but implementation of such practices remains limited. Chapter 5 provides a global assessment of climate change impacts and risks to agriculture, forestry, fisheries and aquaculture, as well as adaptation solutions and limits. Climate change poses risks to seasonal and outdoor economies in communities across the United States, including impacts on economies centered around coral reef-based recreation, winter recreation, and inland water-based recreation. Polar bears are also dependent on sea ice and their preferred diet is almost exclusively Ringed seal. These and other climate-related impacts are expected to result in decreased tourism revenue in some places and, for some communities, loss of identity. Health impacts related to increased temperatures include increased prevalence of: Health impacts related to flooding and severe cyclones can also have severe health impacts such as: Not all Pennsylvanians will be impacted by climate change equally, and many factors can increase people's vulnerability to hazards such as: Keystone State. We can't sit back and watch our communities go up in smoke while corporate profits soar. Chapter 17 assesses the options, processes and enabling conditions for climate risk management as well as the governance and applicability of adaptation options in various contexts. Observed changes in the Arctic over the last century CSIRO | Commonwealth Science Industrial Research Organisation, Approaches to Climate Change Impact Assessment, Choosing from multiple sources of projections, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.003. In many situations it is the intensity, frequency and/or duration of a weather event that can significantly affect risk. For example, the United States Global Change Research Program has developed a wide variety of assessment products, including an impact assessment for the entire United States (2) as well as many topical assessments on the carbon cycle (7), impacts to ecosystems (8), and other subjects. 2009. Substantial and sustained reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions would also significantly reduce projected risks to fisheries and communities that rely on them. Volume I presents an assessment of the physical science underlying this report: The module on Climate Change Vulnerability and Impact Assessment (VIA), as well as the version for cities, outline key approaches to help in assessing vulnerability to climate change in the context of other non-climatic issues and stresses such as environmental change and consumption levels, and their integration with other drivers and pressures. The development of an assessment often will involve a dialogue between those conducting the assessment and stakeholders. Jess talks with Kristy Dahl and Jessica Wentz about holding corporations accountable for climate destruction. In our recent blog post on Loss and Damage, we explored the climate change impacts caused by slow-onset events (such as sea-level rise) and extreme weather events. a rainfall-runoff model). Chapter 2 provides a global assessment of climate change impacts and risks to terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and their services as well as adaptation options to reduce risks. Lasting damage to coastal property and infrastructure driven by sea level rise and storm surge is expected to lead to financial losses for individuals, businesses, and communities, with the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts facing above-average risks. Numerous adaptation strategies are available to cope with adverse impacts of climate variability and change on agricultural production. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. Actions to plan for and adapt to more frequent, widespread, and severe coastal flooding, such as shoreline protection and conservation of coastal ecosystems, would decrease direct losses and cascading impacts on other sectors and parts of the country. Linda Joyce, Rocky Mountain Research Station, US Forest Service, Fort Collins, CO, and Maria Janowiak, Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, US Forest Service, Houghton, MI. Depending upon the nature and depth of the review, the process can be highly publicized with governmental oversight or more similar to a refereed journal review where the journal editor requests reviews by scientific peers. Can we prevent them from being used again? While Weber claimed the proposals would harm Europe's food production by sequestering land for rewilding and other projects, Cuffe said the 12-volume, 5,689-page impact assessment put the . SUMMARY FINDINGS REPORT CHAPTERS OVERVIEW DOWNLOADS Rep. RMRS-GTR-59. Context 2.1 Canada's climate change commitments 2.2 Technical guides 3. Climate change is also projected to alter the geographic range and distribution of disease-carrying insects and pests, exposing more people to ticks that carry Lyme disease and mosquitoes that transmit viruses such as Zika, West Nile, and dengue, with varying impacts across regions. This information allows managers and decision makers to begin consideration of potential responses to these consequences. Future warming will add to the stress on water supplies and adversely impact the availability of water in parts of the United States.